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An example of the confidence interval of a proportion |
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When an experiment has two possible outcomes, the results are expressed as a proportion. Since your data are derived from random sampling, the true proportion in the overall population is almost certainly different than the proportion you observed. A 95% confidence interval quantifies the uncertainty. For example, you look in a microscope at cells stained so that live cells are white and dead cells are blue. Out of 85 cells you looked at, 6 were dead. The fraction of dead cells is 6/85 = 0.0706. The 95% confidence interval extends from 0.0263 to 0.1473. If you assume that the cells you observed were randomly picked from the cell suspension, and that you assessed viability properly with no ambiguity or error, then you can be 95% sure that the true proportion of dead cells in the suspension is somewhere between 2.63 and 13.73 percent. |